Monday, January 24, 2005

A realistic assessment of the current situation

I'm sure some conservatives, the ones that have predicted the demise of the Democratic Party, will just see this as more pandering on the part of the New York Times , I think it's a very realistic assessment:

"It is now fair to say that today the Republican Party is the dominant party in America,' said Ken Mehlman, the new Republican National Committee chairman. 'It's not a deep majority, it is not a broad majority, but it is a very strong majority.'

'Now what does that mean?' Mr. Mehlman continued in an interview at his new office on Capitol Hill. 'We're certainly not in the position that F.D.R. Democrats were in the 1930's and 40's. We're not the overwhelming favorite. There are going to be challenges. We're going to lose elections sometime. But it does mean we're in a very strong position.'"

The Republican Party is without question the dominant political party in America today. Have they achieved permanent majority status?

"It's still a story waiting to be told," Matthew Dowd, a senior Bush campaign adviser, said. "You can't say after a national election that you won by 2.7 percent nationally, and a lot of states were close, that the Republican Party is going to be dominant."

That's right - 2.7%. The really troubling thing:

"With this election producing a second-term Republican president and solid majorities in both the Senate and the House, Mr. Bush's party is more dominant than at any time since Herbert Hoover was elected in 1928."

We all know what happened in 1929. History probably won't repeat itself, at least on that dramatic a scale, but a bump in the road?

"Governor Sanford of South Carolina pointed to the public perception of an economy in trouble, saying, "If we were to see some sort of storm in our economy, well, there are advantages to holding all the cards, and there are disadvantages."

Perception/Reality is hard to distinguish sometimes. I think Matthew Dowd said it best, it is a story still be told.


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